The effect of climate change on avian offspring production:a global meta-analysis

The effect of climate change on avian offspring production:a global meta-analysis

http://urn.fi/urn:nbn:fi-fe20230921135260

Teksti

Halupka, L. (Lucyna) ; Arlt, D. (Debora) ; Tolvanen, J. (Jere) ; Millon, A. (Alexandre) ; Bize, P. (Pierre) ; Adamik, P. (Peter) ; Albert, P. (Pascal) ; Arendt, W. J. (Wayne J.) ; V. Artemyev, A. (Alexander) ; Baglione, V. (Vittorio) ; Banbura, J. (Jerzy) ; Banbura, M. (Miroslawa) ; Barba, E. (Emilio) ; Barrett, R. T. (Robert T.) ; Becker, P. H. (Peter H.) ; Belskii, E. (Eugen) ; Bolton, M. (Mark) ; Bowers, E. K. (E. Keith) ; Bried, J. (Joel) ; Brouwer, L. (Lyanne) ; Bukacinska, M. (Monika) ; Bukacinski, D. (Dariusz) ; Bulluck, L. (Lesley) ; Carstens, K. F. (Kate F.) ; Catry, I. (Ines) ; Charter, M. (Motti) ; Chernomorets, A. (Anna) ; Covas, R. (Rita) ; Czuchra, M. (Monika) ; Dearborn, D. C. (Donald C.) ; de Lope, F. (Florentino) ; Di Giacomo, A. S. (Adrian S.) ; Dombrovski, V. C. (Valery C.) ; Drummond, H. (Hugh) ; Dunn, M. J. (Michael J.) ; Eeva, T. (Tapio) ; Emmerson, L. M. (Louise M.) ; Espmark, Y. (Yngve) ; Fargallo, J. A. (Juan A.) ; Gashkov, S. I. (Sergey I.) ; Golubova, E. Y. (Elena Yu.) ; Griesser, M. (Michael) ; Harris, M. P. (Michael P.) ; Hoover, J. P. (Jeffrey P.) ; Jagielio, Z. (Zuzanna) ; Korell, P. (Patrik) ; Kloskowski, J. (Janusz) ; Koenig, W. D. (Walter D.) ; Kolunen, H. (Heikki) ; Korczak-Abshire, M. (Magorzata) ; Korpimaeki, E. (Erkki) ; Krams, I. (Indrikis) ; Krist, M. (Milos) ; Kruger, S. C. (Sonja C.) ; Kuranov, B. D. (Boris D.) ; Lambin, X. (Xavier) ; Lombardo, M. P. (Michael P.) ; Lyakhov, A. (Andrey) ; Marzal, A. (Alfonso) ; Moller, A. P. (Anders P.) ; Neves, V. C. (Veronica C.) ; Nielsen, J. T. (Jan Tottrup) ; Numerov, A. (Alexander) ; Orlowska, B. (Beata) ; Oro, D. (Daniel) ; oest, M. (Markus) ; Phillips, R. A. (Richard A.) ; Pietiaeinen, H. (Hannu) ; Polo, V. (Vicente) ; Porkert, J. (Jiri) ; Potti, J. (Jaime) ; Poeysae, H. (Hannu) ; Printemps, T. (Thierry) ; Prop, J. (Jouke) ; Quillfeldt, P. (Petra) ; Ramos, J. A. (Jaime A.) ; Ravussin, P.-A. (Pierre-Alain) ; Rosenfield, R. N. (Robert N.) ; Roulin, A. (Alexandre) ; Rubenstein, D. R. (Dustin R.) ; Samusenko, I. E. (Irina E.) ; Saunders, D. A. (Denis A.) ; Schaub, M. (Michael) ; Senar, J. C. (Juan C.) ; Sergio, F. (Fabrizio) ; Solonen, T. (Tapio) ; V. Solovyeva, D. (Diana) ; Stepniewski, J. (Janusz) ; Thompson, P. M. (Paul M.) ; Tobolka, M. (Marcin) ; Toeroek, J. (Janos) ; van de Pol, M. (Martijn) ; Vernooij, L. (Louis) ; Visser, M. E. (Marcel E.) ; Westneat, D. F. (David F.) ; Wheelwright, N. T. (Nathaniel T.) ; Wiacek, J. (Jaroslaw) ; Wiebe, K. L. (Karen L.) ; Wood, A. G. (Andrew G.) ; Wuczynski, A. (Andrzej) ; Wysocki, D. (Dariusz) ; Zarybnicka, M. (Marketa) ; Margalida, A. (Antoni) ; Halupka, K. (Konrad)

National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

Abstract Climate change affects timing of reproduction in many bird species, but few stud-ies have investigated its influence on annual reproductive output. Here, we assess changes in the annual production of young by female breeders in 201 populations of 104 bird species (N = 745,962 clutches) covering all continents between 1970 and 2019. Overall, average offspring production has declined in recent decades, but considerable differences were found among species and populations. A total of 56.7% of populations showed a declining trend in offspring production (significant in 17.4%), whereas 43.3% exhibited an increase (significant in 10.4%). The results show that climatic changes affect offspring production through compounded effects on ecological and life history traits of species. Migratory and larger-bodied species experienced reduced offspring production with increasing temperatures during the chick-rearing period, whereas smaller-bodied, sedentary species tended to produce more offspring. Likewise, multi-brooded species showed increased breeding success with increasing temperatures, whereas rising temperatures were unrelated to repro-ductive success in single-brooded species. Our study suggests that rapid declines in size of bird populations reported by many studies from different parts of the world are driven only to a small degree by changes in the production of young.

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